Emesso: 2014 Jul 08 1237 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
| 10cm flux | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul 2014 | 200 | 005 |
| 09 Jul 2014 | 200 | 014 |
| 10 Jul 2014 | 200 | 013 |
The strongest flare of the past 24 hours, a C4.0 flare peaking at 09:02 UT, originated from Catania sunspot group 16 (NOAA active region 2113). This region has grown in size and complexity. Catania sunspot groups 6 and 9 (NOAA AR 2108 and 2109) keep their delta component and retain their flaring potential with a moderate chance for M-class flares. Solar wind speed is between 290 to 350 km/s, as measured by ACE. The interplanetary magnetic field reached a magnitude of 10 nT with a fluctuating Bz. Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet and are expected to remain so until the arrival of a fast speed stream from a small coronal hole that is expected to result in active conditions on July 9-10.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 144, based on 08 stations.
| Wolf number Catania | 266 |
| 10cm solar flux | 198 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 014 |
| AK Wingst | 008 |
| Estimated Ap | 007 |
| Estimated international sunspot number | 151 - Based on 25 stations |
| Day | Begin | Max | Fine | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nessuna | ||||||||||
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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