Emesso: 2014 Sep 18 1331 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)
| 10cm flux | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep 2014 | 125 | 007 |
| 19 Sep 2014 | 123 | 007 |
| 20 Sep 2014 | 120 | 007 |
NOAA AR 2169 produced an M1.2 flare with peak at 08:41 UT, with an associated Type II radio burst produced by a shock with estimated velocity of 537 km/s. No CME is visible yet in coronagraph images, but more data is needed yet to rule out a possible CME (due to the location of the source region, a CME would most probably not be geoeffective). A partial halo CME was seen yesterday at 17:37 UT off the northeastern limb of the Sun, this is a backsided event that will not affect the Earth. Geomagnetic conditions are quiet and expected to remain so.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 060, based on 13 stations.
| Wolf number Catania | /// |
| 10cm solar flux | 125 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 010 |
| AK Wingst | 007 |
| Estimated Ap | 006 |
| Estimated international sunspot number | 088 - Based on 24 stations |
| Day | Begin | Max | Fine | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types |
|---|
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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