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Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Emesso: 2014 Oct 14 1204 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 14 Oct 2014 until 16 Oct 2014
Brillamenti solari

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Protoni solari

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
14 Oct 2014113014
15 Oct 2014115017
16 Oct 2014117017

Bulletin

No C flares occurred during the past 24 hours. In the next 48 hours, C flares are possible, especially from beta regions NOAA AR 2187 and 2188. Over the last 24 hours, solar wind speed observed by ACE has fluctuated between about 340 and 430 km/s. The magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) first varied between 3 and 9 nT, and increased further to 13 nT from around 4h UT on October 14. Over the past 24 hours, geomagnetic conditions were quiet (K Dourbes between 1 and 3; NOAA Kp between 1 and 3). Quiet geomagnetic levels (K Dourbes < 4) are expected on October 14, 15 and 16, with a chance for active levels (K Dourbes = 4).

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 055, based on 12 stations.

Solar indices for 13 Oct 2014

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux113
AK Chambon La Forêt016
AK Wingst010
Estimated Ap009
Estimated international sunspot number031 - Based on 14 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxFineLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
Nessuna

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

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