Emesso: 2014 Nov 22 1207 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10cm flux | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2014 | 161 | 010 |
| 23 Nov 2014 | 159 | 012 |
| 24 Nov 2014 | 157 | 012 |
NOAA ARs 2209 and 2216 (Catania numbers 9 and 14 respectively) have delta-spots in their trailing parts and continue to produce C-class flares. The strongest flare of the past 24 hours was the C8.1 flare peaking at 01:01 UT today in the NOAA AR 2209 (Catania number 9). We expect flaring activity on the C-level, possibly with an isolated M-class flare. A long filament in the northern hemisphere is now situated across the solar central meridian. Its eruption may lead to an Earth-directed CME. The Earth is currently inside a slow (around 370 km/s) solar wind flow with slightly elevated (7-8 nT) interplanetary magnetic field magnitude. Due to low solar wind speed, the geomagnetic conditions remained at the quiet to unsettled level (K < 4), with one interval of active conditions (K = 4) reported only by IZMIRAN yesterday evening. The geomagnetic conditions are expected to stay at the quiet to unsettled level (K < 4), possibly with isolated intervals of active conditions (K = 4).
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 060, based on 14 stations.
| Wolf number Catania | /// |
| 10cm solar flux | 163 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 023 |
| AK Wingst | 015 |
| Estimated Ap | 016 |
| Estimated international sunspot number | 045 - Based on 18 stations |
| Day | Begin | Max | Fine | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nessuna | ||||||||||
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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