Emesso: 2015 Apr 04 1230 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10cm flux | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr 2015 | 119 | 013 |
| 05 Apr 2015 | 118 | 013 |
| 06 Apr 2015 | 116 | 011 |
Four sunspot groups are currently visible on the solar disk. The strongest flare during the past 24 hours was the B9.8 flare peaking at 00:33 UT in the NOAA AR 2318 (Catania number 21). We expect further flaring activity up to C-level from this group. A weak full halo CME was first seen in the LASCO C2 field of view at 12:48 UT on April 3. Due to absence of EUV signatures of the CME in the SDO/AIA data at that time, we believe this CME is a far side event that will therefore not arrive at the Earth. The Earth is currently inside the fast flow from the trans-equatorial coronal hole. The solar wind speed is around 530 km/s. As the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude has decreased to values around 6 nT, the geomagnetic conditions are on the quiet to unsettled level, and are expected to remain so.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 042, based on 08 stations.
| Wolf number Catania | 053 |
| 10cm solar flux | 120 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 019 |
| AK Wingst | 013 |
| Estimated Ap | 013 |
| Estimated international sunspot number | 020 - Based on 14 stations |
| Day | Begin | Max | Fine | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nessuna | ||||||||||
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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