Emesso: 2015 Jul 12 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
| 10cm flux | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2015 | 115 | 015 |
| 13 Jul 2015 | 112 | 009 |
| 14 Jul 2015 | 110 | 006 |
NOAA 2385 (Catania 11) produced the only flare of the period: a C1 flare peaking at 18:36UT. The other sunspot regions were quiet. Old active region NOAA 2371 is making its reappearance from behind the east limb. No obvious Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CME) were observed.
There remains a chance on an isolated C-class flare.
Solar wind speed is gradually declining and currently varying between 570-600 km/s. Bz oscillated between -8 and +7 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field was mostly directed away from the Sun. Quiet to active geomagnetic conditions were observed.
Quiet geomagnetic conditions are expected with a chance on an active episode, as the influence of the high speed stream of the coronal hole is gradually subsiding.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 081, based on 11 stations.
| Wolf number Catania | /// |
| 10cm solar flux | 120 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | /// |
| AK Wingst | 024 |
| Estimated Ap | 027 |
| Estimated international sunspot number | 094 - Based on 27 stations |
| Day | Begin | Max | Fine | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nessuna | ||||||||||
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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