Emesso: 2015 Nov 21 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10cm flux | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov 2015 | 111 | 006 |
| 22 Nov 2015 | 112 | 007 |
| 23 Nov 2015 | 112 | 007 |
Solar activity was low with only a single C flare originating from Catania group 80 (NOAA region 2457) peaking at C1.6 level at 2:14UT. Some new flux emerge occurred in the leading part of Catania group 77 (NOAA 2454) while the other regions were fairly stable. The occurrence of further occasional C flaring is quite possible over the next period. No Earth directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph images.
Solar wind speed was in the 370-430 km/s range with total magnetic field increasing to a peak of 9.6 nT in the first half of the period before restoring to values of around 5 nT. Bz was mostly positive with a dip down to -5 nT before midnight. Geomagnetic conditions were quiet (local K Dourbes 1-2) with only a period of unsettled conditions at planetary level (NOAA Kp 0-3). Nominal wind conditions and associated quiet geomagnetic conditions are expected to continue.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 056, based on 11 stations.
| Wolf number Catania | 083 |
| 10cm solar flux | 111 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 008 |
| AK Wingst | 002 |
| Estimated Ap | 003 |
| Estimated international sunspot number | 055 - Based on 18 stations |
| Day | Begin | Max | Fine | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nessuna | ||||||||||
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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