Emesso: 2015 Nov 24 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
| 10cm flux | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov 2015 | 118 | 006 |
| 25 Nov 2015 | 120 | 022 |
| 26 Nov 2015 | 122 | 011 |
In the past 24 hours, beta region NOAA AR 2454 produced one C1.3 flare which peaked around 12:13 UT on November 23. C flares are expected within the next 24 hours, with a 10% chance for an M flare. The Earth is currently within a slow solar wind region regime. Solar wind speed varied between 290 and 350 km/s in the past 24 hours, while the magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field ranged between 1 and 4 nT. Over the past 24 hours, geomagnetic conditions have been quiet to unsettled (K Dourbes between 0 and 3; NOAA Kp between 0 and 1). Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes < 4) are expected on November 24. The expected arrival of a coronal hole high speed stream may cause active (K Dourbes = 4) geomagnetic levels on November 25 and 26, with a slight chance for minor storm intervals (K Dourbes = 5).
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 061, based on 09 stations.
| Wolf number Catania | /// |
| 10cm solar flux | 120 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 003 |
| AK Wingst | 001 |
| Estimated Ap | 001 |
| Estimated international sunspot number | 056 - Based on 29 stations |
| Day | Begin | Max | Fine | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nessuna | ||||||||||
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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