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Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Emesso: 2016 Jul 13 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Brillamenti solari

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Protoni solari

Quiet

	10cm flux	Ap
13 Jul 2016	093	015
14 Jul 2016	092	012
15 Jul 2016	090	019

Bulletin

Over the past 24 hours solar activity has been very low. No significant flares have been recorded. Active Region (AR) 2564 (Macintosh class:Hax; Mag. type:Alpha) has shown some evidence of flux emergence in HMI magnetogram observations, but appears stable, this region may increase flaring activity. All other regions appeared stable. No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected. Solar protons have remained at background levels over the past 24 hours. There is currently a large +ve polarity trans-equatorial northern polar coronal hole in the Western hemisphere. Solar activity is expected to remain low over the next 24 hours, with a reasonable probability of C-class flares and a low probability of M-class flares. The solar wind speed has fluctuated around 600 km/s over the past 24 hours. The total magnetic field strength has fluctuated around 5 nT. The Bz component fluctuated around 0 nT, ranging between -5 and +5 nT. Geomagnetic conditions ranged between Kp index 2-4 (NOAA) and local K index 2-3 (Dourbes) over the past 24 hours. The large northern polar coronal hole in the Western hemisphere may increase solar wind speeds over the coming days, if coupled with negative Bz we may experience enhanced geomagnetic activity over the next few days.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 059, based on 17 stations.

Solar indices for 12 Jul 2016

Wolf number Catania	070
10cm solar flux	092
AK Chambon La Forêt	020
AK Wingst	021
Estimated Ap	022
Estimated international sunspot number	061 - Based on 31 stations

Noticeable events summary

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

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