Emesso: 2021 Sep 21 1443 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10cm flux | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep 2021 | 080 | 008 |
| 22 Sep 2021 | 083 | 006 |
| 23 Sep 2021 | 086 | 016 |
Five regions are present on the Sun, NOAA 2871, 2872, 2873 as well as two small, bipolar, unnamed regions in the southern hemisphere. Over the past 24 hours, two C-class flares have been recorded, the strongest one being a C1.8-class flare. The flares have been reported to originate from region NOAA 2073 and NOAA 2871. Two unnumbered regions, of beta configuration are in North and NE Over the next 24 hours, C class flares can be expected, especially from region NOAA 2871.
No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed in the available coronagraphic imagery.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels in the past 24 hours, and is expected to stay at nominal levels in the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux remained below the 1000 pfu alert threshold, while the 24h electron fluence was at nominal levels over the past 24 hours. Over the next 24 hours they are expected to remain at those levels.
Over the past 24 hours the solar wind speed varied between 300 to 345 km/s. The total magnetic field strength had values between 3 and 7 nT, while its Bz component varied between -4 and 4 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field phi angle has been on the negative sector (directed towards the Sun). The effects of the high speed stream associated with the negative Coronal Hole present on Central Meridian can be expected at about Sep 23-24. Over the next 24 hours, solar wind conditions continue at about those levels, possibly slightly enhanced.
Geomagnetic conditions were at quiet to unsettled levels (NOAA Kp 0-3 and K Dourbes 0-2) over the past 24 hours. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected over the next 24 hours.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 065, based on 21 stations.
| Wolf number Catania | 044 |
| 10cm solar flux | 080 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 008 |
| AK Wingst | 004 |
| Estimated Ap | 003 |
| Estimated international sunspot number | 043 - Based on 22 stations |
| Day | Begin | Max | Fine | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nessuna | ||||||||||
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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