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Codzienne wiadomości na temat aktywności słonecznej i geomagnetycznej z SIDC

Odnotowany: 2024 Mar 16 1232 UTC

Prognoza SIDC

Rozbłyski słoneczne

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetyzm

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Monitoring przepływu protonów

Proton event expected (10 pfu at >10 MeV)

	strumień 10cm	Ap
16 Mar 2024	129	007
17 Mar 2024	129	007
18 Mar 2024	129	007

Aktywne obszary słoneczne i rozbłyski

There are four active regions visible on the solar disk. They all have simple beta or alpha magnetic field configuration. Flaring activity has decreased significantly since NOAA AR 3599 rotated out of view over the west limb yesterday. The strongest flare was a C1.8 from NOAA AR 3599, peaking at 12:09 UTC on 15 March. Minor C-class flaring can be expected for the next 24 hours.

Koronalny wyrzut masy

No Earth-directed CMEs were detected in the available coronagraph observations in the last 24 hours.

Wiatr słoneczny

The Earth is inside slow solar wind, with speeds close to 400 km/s and an interplanetary magnetic field around 5 nT. Similar conditions are expected for the next 24 hours.

Geomagnetyzm

Geomagnetic conditions were quiet both global and locally (NOAA_Kp up to 2 and K_BEL up to 2). Similar conditions can be expected for the next 24 hours.

Poziomy przepływu protonów

The 10 MeV proton flux (measured by GOES-18) has raised above the 10 pfu threshold. The increase in proton flux started shortly after the eruption of the partial halo CME from 02:10 UTC on 15 March (LASCO C2), originating from NOAA AR 3599 slightly behind the west limb. These particles are accelerated by the CME driven shock and increased steadily at the Earth's location; they crossed the 10 pfu threshold close to 23:00 UTC on 15 March. The 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain elevated during the next 24 hours.

Strumienie elektronów na orbicie geostacjonarnej

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux from GOES 16 was below the threshold level in the last 24 hours. It is expected to remain below the threshold during the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at normal level and is expected to remain so.

Dzisiejsza szacunkowa międzynarodowa liczba plam na Słońcu (ISN): 055, na podstawie 07 stacji.

Indeksy solarne na 15 Mar 2024

Liczba Wolfa z Katanii	052
Fale radiowe 10,7 cm	129
AK Chambon La Forêt	007
AK Wingst	008
Szacunkowa Ap	008
Szacowana międzynarodowa liczba plam słonecznych	051 - Na podstawie stacji 21

Podsumowanie wydarzeń godnych uwagi

Dostarczone przez Centrum Analizy Danych Wpływów Słonecznych© - SIDC - Przetworzone przez SpaceWeatherLive

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