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Codzienne wiadomości na temat aktywności słonecznej i geomagnetycznej z SIDC

Odnotowany: 2024 Mar 17 1232 UTC

Prognoza SIDC

Rozbłyski słoneczne

M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetyzm

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Monitoring przepływu protonów

Quiet

	strumień 10cm	Ap
17 Mar 2024	144	007
18 Mar 2024	146	007
19 Mar 2024	148	007

Aktywne obszary słoneczne i rozbłyski

There are five active regions visible on the solar disk. They all have simple beta or alpha magnetic field configuration and produced minor C-class flaring. The main activity in the last 24 hours has been observed from active regions behind the east limb, that will rotate into view in the next hours. The strongest was an M3.5 flare peaking at 16:35 UTC on 16 March, from a region not yet visible, located behind the east limb. As these regions rotate into view, we expect more M-class and possible X-class flares in the next 24 hours.

Koronalny wyrzut masy

There was a partial halo CME (angular width about 180 degrees) directed towards the south, first seen at 03:24 UTC by LASCO C2. This CME originates from a filament eruption in the southern hemisphere. Since the filament was located close to the disk center, an ICME may arrive to the Earth on 20-21 March (a better estimation will be given when more data become available).

Wiatr słoneczny

Solar wind: The Earth is inside slow solar wind, with speeds close to 350 km/s and an interplanetary magnetic field around 5 nT. Similar conditions are expected for the next 24 hours.

Geomagnetyzm

Geomagnetic conditions were quiet both global and locally (NOAA_Kp up to 1 and K_BEL up to 1). Similar conditions can be expected for the next 24 hours.

Poziomy przepływu protonów

The 10 MeV proton flux (measured by GOES-18) has come below the 10 pfu threshold, but remains elevated. It is expected that it will go back to low levels in the next 24 hours.

Strumienie elektronów na orbicie geostacjonarnej

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux from GOES 16 was below the threshold level in the last 24 hours. It is expected to remain below the threshold during the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at normal level and is expected to remain so.

Dzisiejsza szacunkowa międzynarodowa liczba plam na Słońcu (ISN): 074, na podstawie 10 stacji.

Indeksy solarne na 16 Mar 2024

Liczba Wolfa z Katanii	///
Fale radiowe 10,7 cm	144
AK Chambon La Forêt	005
AK Wingst	002
Szacunkowa Ap	002
Szacowana międzynarodowa liczba plam słonecznych	058 - Na podstawie stacji 23

Podsumowanie wydarzeń godnych uwagi

Dostarczone przez Centrum Analizy Danych Wpływów Słonecznych© - SIDC - Przetworzone przez SpaceWeatherLive

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