Arşiv Cuma, 3 Ocak 2014 görüntüleniyor

SIDC'den güneş ve jeomanyetik aktivite hakkında günlük bülten

Yayınlandı: 2014 Jan 03 1220 UTC

SIDC Tahmini

Güneş patlamaları

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Jeomanyetizma

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Güneş protonları

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

	10cm akı	Ap
03 Jan 2014	160	010
04 Jan 2014	163	017
05 Jan 2014	163	008

Bülten

The Sun produced seven C flares and one M flare during the past 24 hours. NOAA AR 1944 was responsible for most of the flaring activity. NOAA AR 1944 has grown in size and evolved to a beta-gamma region. NOAA AR 1936 shows some decay and is approaching the west limb. More M flares are possible (probability 50%), especially from NOAA ARs 1936 and 1944. There is a slight chance for an X flare (15%). We maintain the warning condition for proton events. Solar wind speed measured by ACE reached a maximum of 650 km/s, but has now declined to about 500 km/s. The magnitude of the interplanetary magnetic field declined from 8 to 4 nT, with a Bz- component varying between -6 and +5 nT. Estimated NOAA Kp and local K_Izmiran reached a maximum of 5 due to the influence of the coronal hole high speed stream. Current geomagnetic conditions are quiet to unsettled (Kp and K_Izmiran 2 to 3). Unsettled to minor storm conditions (local K 3 to 4) are possible due to the possible arrival of the CMEs of December 29 and December 31.

Bugünün tahmini uluslararası güneş lekesi sayısı (ISN): 1 Tahmini gunes lekesi sayisi, 2 Istasyon sayisi.

02 Jan 2014 için güneş endeksleri

Kurt numarası Catania	///
10cm güneş akısı	161
AK Chambon La Forêt	025
AK Wingst	023
Tahmini Ap	024
Tahmini uluslararası güneş lekesi sayısı	097 - 18 istasyonlarına göre

Dikkat çeken olayların özeti

Güneş Etkileri Veri Analiz Merkezi tarafından sağlanmıştır© - SIDC - SpaceWeatherLive tarafından işlendi

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