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Щоденний бюлетень про сонячну та геомагнітну активність від SIDC

Випущено: 2023 May 27 1253 UTC

Прогноз SIDC

Сонячні спалахи

M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)

Геомагнетизм

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Сонячні протони

Quiet

	10 см потік	Ap
27 May 2023	153	003
28 May 2023	153	004
29 May 2023	150	010

Сонячно-активні області та спалахи

Solar flaring activity remained at moderate levels with two low M-class flares. The strongest activity was an M1.4 flare with start time 22:48 UTC, end time 23:25 UTC, peak time 23:03 UTC on May 26th from NOAA AR 3315 (beta), which developed more trailing spots and was responsible for most of the flaring activity over the past 24 hours. A couple of high C-class flaring was produced by NOAA AR 3314 (beta), which remained mostly unchanged. An impulsive M1.1-class flaring was produced by NOAA AR 3312 (beta) with peak time 14:46 UTC on May 26th and the region has shown slight decayed after. Isolated low C-class flaring was produced by NOAA AR 3310 (beta), which experienced significant decay and by NOAA 3311 (beta-gamma), which also showed signs of decay. The newly numbered region NOAA 3316 (beta) remained quiet and stable. The solar flaring activity is expected to be at low to moderate levels over the next days with 50% chances for M-class flaring.

Корональні викиди маси

No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were detected in the available coronagraph imagery.

Корональні діри

A negative polarity has crossed the central meridian and related enhancements in the solar wind near Earth could be observed on May 29th and May 30th.

Сонячний вітер

Over the past 24 hours the solar wind parameters (ACE and DSCOVR) Solar wind parameters reflected the waning influence of a high speed stream (HSS) from a negative polarity coronal hole. The solar wind velocity varied in the range of 483 km/s to 591 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field was weak with a maximum value of 5.4 nT and a minimum Bz of -4.6 nT. The B field was predominantly in the negative sector (directed towards the Sun). The solar wind conditions are expected to continue their decline towards nominal slow solar wind over the next days.

Геомагнетизм

The geomagnetic conditions over the past 24 hours were globally quiet with a single unsettled period over Belgium between 15:00 and 16:00 UTC on May 26th. Mostly quiet geomagnetic conditions are expected over the next 24 hours with chances for isolated unsettled or active conditions until the full passage of the waning high speed stream.

Рівні потоку протонів

Over the past 24 hours the greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux was at nominal levels and is expected to remain so over the next days.

Потоки електронів на геостаціонарній орбіті

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was entirely above the 1000 pfu threshold over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain above the 1000 pfu threshold for prolonged periods in the upcoming days. The 24h electron fluence was at moderate levels and is expected to remain at moderate levels over the next days.

Розрахунок міжнародної кількості сонячних плям станом на сьогодні (ISN): 138, за даними 20 станцій.

Сонячні індекси за 26 May 2023

Число Вольфа, Катанія	171
Сонячний потік 10 см	149
AK Chambon La Forêt	///
AK Wingst	007
Розрахунковий індекс Ap	007
Розрахункова міжнародна кількість сонячних плям	143 - За даними 32 станцій

Зведення помітних подій

Надано Центром Аналізу Даних Сонячного Впливу (SIDC)© - SIDC - Оброблено SpaceWeatherLive

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