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Щоденний бюлетень про сонячну та геомагнітну активність від SIDC

Випущено: 2023 May 26 1316 UTC

Прогноз SIDC

Сонячні спалахи

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Геомагнетизм

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Сонячні протони

Quiet

	10 см потік	Ap
26 May 2023	152	008
27 May 2023	150	003
28 May 2023	150	004

Сонячно-активні області та спалахи

Solar flaring activity over the past 24 hours has been at moderate levels with a single low M-class flare, namely an impulsive M1.1 flare, start time 14:37 UTC, peak time 14:46 UTC, end time 14:53 UTC, produced by NOAA AR 3312 (beta). The region has reduced its area and number of trailing sunspots. NOAA AR 3311 (beta-gamma) underwent significant decay and has produced only an isolated low C-class flaring. Multiple low C-class flaring was produced by NOAA AR 3315 (beta), which has increased its area and became the third largest active region after NOAA AR 3311 and NOAA AR 3310 (beta). The latter has developed a few more trailing spots and produced a single isolated low C-class flaring. The remaining flaring activity was produced by NOAA AR 3314 (beta), which lost half of its sunspots. A new active region (beta) has emerged near N10E42. It has been quiet and inactive. The solar flaring activity is expected to be at low levels over the next days with decreasing chances for M-class flaring.

Корональні викиди маси

Multiple relatively narrow coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed to lift off the solar surface, but none is currently estimated to arrive at Earth. No Earth-directed CMEs were detected in the available coronagraph imagery.

Корональні діри

A narrow negative polarity is now crossing the central meridian. While no strong high speed stream arrival is expected, some enhancements in the solar wind near Earth could be observed on May 29th and May 30th.

Сонячний вітер

Over the past 24 hours the solar wind parameters (ACE and DSCOVR) Solar wind parameters reflected the weakening influence of a high speed stream (HSS) from a negative polarity coronal hole. The solar wind velocity varied in the range of 426 km/s to 656 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field remained weak with a maximum value of 6.6 nT and a minimum Bz of -6 nT. The B field was predominantly in the negative sector (directed towards the Sun). The solar wind conditions are expected to remain slightly elevated today and decline towards nominal slow solar wind levels over the next days.

Геомагнетизм

The geomagnetic conditions over the past 24 hours were quiet to unsettled. Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions are expected over the next 24 hours with slight chances for isolated active conditions. Mostly quiet conditions are expected thereafter.

Рівні потоку протонів

Over the past 24 hours the greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux was at nominal levels and is expected to remain so over the next days.

Потоки електронів на геостаціонарній орбіті

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was above the 1000 pfu threshold for prolonged periods of time and is expected to remain so in the upcoming days. The 24h electron fluence was at moderate levels and is expected to remain at moderate levels over the next days.

Розрахунок міжнародної кількості сонячних плям станом на сьогодні (ISN): 140, за даними 22 станцій.

Сонячні індекси за 25 May 2023

Число Вольфа, Катанія	///
Сонячний потік 10 см	152
AK Chambon La Forêt	///
AK Wingst	014
Розрахунковий індекс Ap	013
Розрахункова міжнародна кількість сонячних плям	148 - За даними 30 станцій

Зведення помітних подій

Надано Центром Аналізу Даних Сонячного Впливу (SIDC)© - SIDC - Оброблено SpaceWeatherLive

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