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Щоденний бюлетень про сонячну та геомагнітну активність від SIDC

Випущено: 2024 Dec 01 1231 UTC

Прогноз SIDC

Сонячні спалахи

M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)

Геомагнетизм

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Сонячні протони

Quiet

	10 см потік	Ap
01 Dec 2024	203	006
02 Dec 2024	200	004
03 Dec 2024	197	003

Сонячно-активні області та спалахи

Solar flaring activity was low over the past 24 hours, with seven C-class flares identified. SIDC Sunspot Group 323 (NOAA Active Region [AR] 3906) produced four of the flares, while SIDC Sunspot Group 305 (NOAA Active Region 3912), SIDC Sunspot Group 324 (NOAA AR 3907), and SIDC Sunspot Group 326 (NOAA Active Region 3911) produced one flare each. M-class flaring activity is still expected, either from SIDC Sunspot Group 322 (NOAA AR 3905) or SIDC Sunspot Group 323 in the next 24 hours. A small chance of an X-class flare in the next 24 hours still exists.

Корональні викиди маси

No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CME) were observed in the last 24 hours.

Сонячний вітер

The Solar Wind (SW) conditions were typical of the slow SW regime during the last 24 hours. The SW speed varied between from 340 km/h and 440 km/h in the last 24 hours. The total interplanetary magnetic field (Bt) ranged between 5 and 11 nT and its North-South component (Bz) registered values between -8 and 11 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field phi angle was predominately directed towards the Sun during the past 24 hours. During the next 24 hours the SW conditions are expected to be affected by a minor disturbance associated with the Coronal Hole (CH) crossing of the solar meridian on 28 Nov.

Геомагнетизм

During the last 24 hours geomagnetic conditions were globally and locally quiet (NOAA Kp 1- to 2+ and K BEL 1 to 2). In the next 24 hours they are expected to be at quiet or unsettled levels both globally and locally.

Рівні потоку протонів

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux, as measured by the GOES-18 satellite, was at nominal levels over the past 24 hours and is likely to remain so. However, there is still a small chance of a proton even in the next 24 hours.

Потоки електронів на геостаціонарній орбіті

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux as measured by GOES 18 was below the 1000 pfu threshold and is expected to remain below this threshold over the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at nominal levels and is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours.

Розрахунок міжнародної кількості сонячних плям станом на сьогодні (ISN): 118, за даними 16 станцій.

Сонячні індекси за 30 Nov 2024

Число Вольфа, Катанія	///
Сонячний потік 10 см	204
AK Chambon La Forêt	008
AK Wingst	012
Розрахунковий індекс Ap	011
Розрахункова міжнародна кількість сонячних плям	121 - За даними 22 станцій

Зведення помітних подій

Надано Центром Аналізу Даних Сонячного Впливу (SIDC)© - SIDC - Оброблено SpaceWeatherLive

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