SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW TO MODERATE. ALMOST ALL OF THE ACTIVITY WAS PRODUCED BY REGION 8256 (S23W47). THIS REGION HAS INCREASED IN PLAGE AREA AND SPOT COUNT OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS, CURRENTLY AN 18 SPOT DRO-BETA. IT HAS PRODUCED SEVERAL C-CLASS EVENTS AND SUBFLARES AS WELL AS AN M-CLASS EVENT WITH A CORRESPONDING SN FLARE AT 04/1216UT AND A NEAR M-CLASS EVENT (C9.7) WITH A 1N FLARE AT 04/1643UT. THE ONLY OTHER REGION SHOWING ANY ACTIVITY WAS 8260 (S23W14) WHICH PRODUCED AN OPTICAL SUBFLARE AT 04/0739UT. IT HAS SHOWN ONLY MINOR PLAGE FLUCTUATIONS SINCE THAT TIME. THE REMAINING REGIONS HAVE BEEN QUIET.

SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO BE LOW TO MODERATE. REGION 8256 IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO PRODUCE C-CLASS ACTIVITY AND ISOLATED M-CLASS FLARES. REGION 8260 COULD ALSO PRODUCE ISOLATED C-CLASS ACTIVITY.

THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED WITH ONE PERIOD OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS OCCURRING BETWEEN 03/00-03UT. THE GREATER THAN 2MEV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ALTITUDE INCREASED TO NEAR THRESHOLD LEVELS AT 04/1900UT AND REMAINED THERE FOR THE REST OF THE REPORTING PERIOD.

THE GEOMAGNETIC FILED IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED WITH ISOLATED ACTIVE PERIODS.

  觀測的       04 JUL 129
  預測的   05 JUL-07 JUL  130/130/126
  90天平均值        04 JUL 108

OBSERVED AFR/AP 03 JUL  011/011
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 04 JUL  012/015
PREDICTED AFR/AP 05 JUL-07 JUL  015/015-012/012-010/010