Solar activity has been moderate. Region 9773 (N16W56) produced an M1/1n flare at 0310 UTC and continues to be the largest region on the disk. Region 9773 continues to show a magnetic delta configuration in the middle of the group. Region 9775 (S05W43) produced an M2/Sf at 1946 UTC and currently consists of a relatively large number of spots in a complicated, beta-gamma magnetic configuration. Region 9778 (S17E08) appears to be growing slowly, and there may be a small delta configuration forming in the group.

Solar activity is expected to be mostly moderate. There continues to be a slight chance for a major flare or proton producing flare, with Region 9773 being the most likely source.

The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 10 MeV proton event that began 10/2045 UTC ended today at 13/1425 UTC. The peak flux was 91 PFU at 11/0530 UTC. The greater than 2 MeV electron fluxes attained high levels during the past 24 hours.

The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominantly unsettled for the next 24 hours. Quiet to unsettled levels are expected for the second and third days.

  觀測的       13 Jan 241
  預測的   14 Jan-16 Jan  235/235/240
  90天平均值        13 Jan 224

  觀測的 Afr/Ap 12 Jan  012/015
  估算值     Afr/Ap 13 Jan  010/012
  預測的    Afr/Ap 14 Jan-16 Jan  012/010-007/008-007/005