發布時間: 2014 Mar 07 1242 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar 2014 | 145 | 003 |
| 08 Mar 2014 | 143 | 009 |
| 09 Mar 2014 | 141 | 021 |
Over the last 24 hours, no C-class flares were observed, with x-ray background around B6-level. There are currently 9 sunspot regions on the visible solar disk. Most sunspot groups are stable or decaying. Eruptive flaring conditions are expected, with most chance on a C-flare from sunspot group NOAA 1996. A CME was observed by LASCO/C2 on 6 March at 13:36UT, and was associated to a filament eruption in the southeast solar quadrant. Current imagery indicates it did not have an Earth directed component. Over the last 24 hours, solar wind speed has gradually decreased to values near 410 km/s, with Bz varying between -4nT and +4nT. Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet and are expected to remain so until the arrival of a high speed wind stream from the coronal hole that passed the central meridian early on 5 March. This may result in episodes of active geomagnetic conditions starting 8-9 March.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):093,基於17個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | /// |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 149 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | /// |
| AK Wingst | 008 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 006 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 090 - 基於23個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 無 | ||||||||||
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