發布時間: 2014 Mar 08 1256 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar 2014 | 146 | 005 |
| 09 Mar 2014 | 142 | 021 |
| 10 Mar 2014 | 140 | 008 |
There are currently 7 sunspot groups visible, all are small and have a simple magnetic configuration. Five C-class flares were recorded. The strongest was a C3-flare peaking at 00:07UT in a new region near the southeast limb. The two most notable CMEs detected over the last 24 hours, seen first by LASCO/C2 at resp. 12:12UT and 13:36UT, are related to backside events and have no Earth-directed component. Eruptive flaring conditions are expected. Over the last 24 hours, solar wind speed has gradually decreased to values near 370-400 km/s, with Bz varying between -4nT and +4nT. A small coronal hole on the southern hemisphere may reach the central meridian (CM) early on 9 March with possible geomagnetic influences on 12-13 March. Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet and are expected to remain so until the arrival of the coronal hole solar wind stream (CM passage 5 March). This may result in episodes of active geomagnetic conditions starting later today or tomorrow 9 March.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):085,基於17個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | /// |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 148 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | /// |
| AK Wingst | 003 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 003 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 094 - 基於24個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 無 | ||||||||||
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