查看星期二, 11 3月 2014歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2014 Mar 11 1254 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

地磁

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

太陽質子

Quiet

	10公分通量	Ap
11 Mar 2014	155	005
12 Mar 2014	155	007
13 Mar 2014	155	007

公告

There were four M flares and four C flares on the Sun during the past 24 hours, mostly released by NOAA AR 12002 and 11996. The brightest one was an M3.5 flare from NOAA AR 11996 peaking at 03:50 UT on March 11. In the next 48 hours, the probability for C flares is very high (95%) and for M flares around 75%, mainly from NOAA AR 12002 and 11996. There is a chance (35%) for an X flare. In the past 24 hours, solar wind speed as observed by ACE gradually decreased from around 340 km/s to around 300 km/s, while the magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) varied between 3.5 and 6.5 nT. In the past 24 hours, geomagnetic conditions were quiet (K Dourbes between 0 and 3; NOAA Kp between 0 and 3). Quiet geomagnetic levels are expected on March 11, 12, and 13.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數（ISN）：079，基於12個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 10 Mar 2014

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數	142
10厘米太陽通量	152
AK Chambon La Forêt	///
AK Wingst	004
估計地磁Ap指數	005
估計國際太陽黑子數	083 - 基於24個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

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