發布時間: 2014 Apr 08 1253 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr 2014 | 140 | 010 |
| 09 Apr 2014 | 140 | 011 |
| 10 Apr 2014 | 140 | 007 |
Since our last bulletin, three C-class flares were produced. They all originated from Catania sunspot group 8 (NOAA AR 1926). The GOES X-ray flux background was at B-class level. A new region emerged near S03E30. Eruptive flaring activity is expected for the next 48 hours with a slight chance for M-class flares. No Earth bounded CMEs were observed. Solar wind observations from ACE showed an increase of the solar wind speed at 17h UT of April 7 from 360 to 480 km/s and then a decline to 400 km/s. The magnitude of the interplanetary magnetic field varied between 1 and 11 nT, with a Bz component fluctuating between -10 and 6 nT. The periods with a negative Bz resulted in unsettled to active magnetic conditions (both local K at Dourbes and NOAA planetary Kp). So far, there were no clear signatures of arrival of a shock related to the CME of April 4, but it is still possible in the next few hours. Unsettled conditions are expected for the next 48 hours.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):085,基於20個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | 131 |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 140 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 014 |
| AK Wingst | 011 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 010 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 082 - 基於24個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 無 | ||||||||||
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