發布時間: 2014 Apr 09 1222 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr 2014 | 130 | 004 |
| 10 Apr 2014 | 133 | 004 |
| 11 Apr 2014 | 135 | 005 |
The Sun produced only one single C-class flare, originating from Catania sunspot region 13 (NOAA AR 2031). More C-class flares are expected during the next 48 hours, from Catania sunspot regions 8, 13 and 18 (NOAA ARs 2026, 2031 and 2032 respectively). There is also a slight chance for an M-class flare. A full halo CME was visible in coronagraphic imagery. It was first visible in LASCO C2 images at 23:48 UT, April 8 as a partial halo (angular width of around 200 degrees), and evolved further to a full halo CME. First measurements in STEREO B/COR2 were at 00:25 UT, April 9. It concerns a backsided CME and therefore we do not expect the CME to be geoeffective. Two recurrent coronal holes (centred near S45E05 and N25E05) have reached the central meridian and are expected to arrive near Earth during the second half of April 12. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed. Solar wind speed measured by ACE fluctuated between 380 and 500 km/s. The magnitude of the interplanetary magnetic field reached a maximum of 6 nT, with a mainly positive Bz component. Current magnetic conditions are quiet and are expected to remain so for the next 48 hours. The arrival of the CH high speed stream might result in active conditions from April 12 on.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):069,基於23個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | 144 |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 132 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 007 |
| AK Wingst | 004 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 004 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 083 - 基於30個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 無 | ||||||||||
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