發布時間: 2014 Aug 28 1132 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug 2014 | 120 | 024 |
| 29 Aug 2014 | 118 | 007 |
| 30 Aug 2014 | 118 | 014 |
Only two small C-class flares were observed in the past period. All active regions at the frontside are relatively stable. No Earth directed CMEs were observed. Flaring activity is expected to remain at the level of C-flares. A equatorial coronal hole has crossed the central meridian, which is likely to influence the solar wind conditions near Earth starting on August 30. The magnitude of the interplanetary magnetic field declined from 15 to 9 nT, with Bz mainly being southward. The solar wind speed is fluctuating between 300 and 380 km/s. Geomagnetic activity reached active levels (local K=4 at Dourbes), with even an single time slot of minor storm level (NOAA Kp=5). A return to quiet to unsettled conditions is expected, till the potential arrival of a shock related to the August 25 CMEs later today.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):062,基於10個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | /// |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 123 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 038 |
| AK Wingst | 020 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 021 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 069 - 基於19個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 無 | ||||||||||
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