查看星期四, 4 9月 2014歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2014 Sep 04 1249 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

地磁

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

太陽質子

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

	10公分通量	Ap
04 Sep 2014	141	011
05 Sep 2014	145	007
06 Sep 2014	148	006

公告

Since yesterday's bulletin, solar activity was on the C-level, with the strongest flare being the C5.2 flare peaking yesterday at 21:24 UT in the Catania sunspot group 44 (NOAA AR 1255) close to the east-south-east limb. The same active region yesterday produced the M2.5 flare that was accompanied only by a weak and narrow CME. The solar background X-ray flux is currently around the C1 level. We expect flaring activity up the M-level, in particular from the Catania sunspot group 44. The former NOAA AR 2139 (that was responsible for the major eruption on the far side of the Sun on September 1) is now appearing from behind the east limb. The solar proton flux, although increased, has stabilized below the SEP event threshold. We maintain the warning condition for a proton event. The Earth is currently inside a slow (around 390 km/s) solar wind flow with average (around 5 nT) interplanetary magnetic field magnitude. The geomagnetic conditions are quiet and are expected to remain so.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數（ISN）：084，基於13個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 03 Sep 2014

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數	///
10厘米太陽通量	138
AK Chambon La Forêt	014
AK Wingst	010
估計地磁Ap指數	011
估計國際太陽黑子數	070 - 基於21個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

所有時間均採用 UTC 時間

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