查看星期日, 28 9月 2014歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2014 Sep 28 1235 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

從 1230 UTC, 28 Sep 2014 到 30 Sep 2014 都有效
太陽閃焰

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

地磁

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

太陽質子

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

10公分通量Ap
28 Sep 2014188010
29 Sep 2014193012
30 Sep 2014196007

公告

Solar activity was moderate with an M5.1 flare from NOAA AR 2173 peaking at 2:58 UT. It was associated with type II radio bursts and a dimming. Coronagraph data however seen to indicate just a narrow south- eastward directed CME. AR 2172 and 2173 produced a further number of C flares. AR 2172, 2173, and 2175 remain active and are the most likely sources on disc. New flaring activity at M level is likely. With the main active regions on disc approaching moving to the west the chances for a proton event are increasing. After touching minima of below 380 km/s in the first half of the reporting period, solar wind speed picked up slightly again to around 420 km/s presently. Total magnetic field was mainly in the 5-7 nT range with Bz variable mainly in the +-4nT range with a period of negative Bz peaking below -5nT around 10:00 UT. Geomagnetic conditions were accordingly quiet with unsettled conditions late this morning. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected to continue with some active periods still possible in the first 24 hours.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):129,基於11個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 27 Sep 2014

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數///
10厘米太陽通量181
AK Chambon La Forêt013
AK Wingst016
估計地磁Ap指數017
估計國際太陽黑子數129 - 基於18個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

開始最大值結束位置強度OP10cm卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局電波爆發類型
28023902580319S13W23M5.12B220--/2173II/1IV/1

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

所有時間均採用 UTC 時間

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