發布時間: 2014 Sep 27 1234 UTC
Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2014 | 173 | 016 |
| 28 Sep 2014 | 176 | 013 |
| 29 Sep 2014 | 179 | 007 |
Solar activity has been at low to moderate level. The largest flare occurred during a GOES 15 data gap. From PROBA2/LYRA data it is derived to be of M1 magnitude. Its peak was reported to have occurred at 8:37 UT. The second strongest event was a C7.9 flare originating from NOAA AR 2177 peaking at 16:18 UT. Some further C flares were reported including from regions 2172 and 2173. Further growth was recorded in the main regions at play 2175, 2172 and 2173. The occurrence of M class flares has become quite possible or even likely. No Earth directed CME's were recorded. Solar wind speed decreased slightly from around 460 km/s to around 420 km/s. Total magnetic field was variable mainly within the 5 to 7 nT range. Some periods with dominant negative Bz (peaks to under -6nT) were observed at the start of the reporting period as well as after UT midnight. Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to active (both NOAA Kp and local K Dourbes 2-4). Quiet to active geomagnetic conditions are expected in the first two days with later quiet to unsettled conditions.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):109,基於10個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | /// |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 170 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 028 |
| AK Wingst | 017 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 018 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 122 - 基於14個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0832 | 0837 | 0840 | ---- | M1.0 | --/---- |
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