查看星期六, 27 9月 2014歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2014 Sep 27 1234 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

從 1230 UTC, 27 Sep 2014 到 29 Sep 2014 都有效
太陽閃焰

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

地磁

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

太陽質子

Quiet

10公分通量Ap
27 Sep 2014173016
28 Sep 2014176013
29 Sep 2014179007

公告

Solar activity has been at low to moderate level. The largest flare occurred during a GOES 15 data gap. From PROBA2/LYRA data it is derived to be of M1 magnitude. Its peak was reported to have occurred at 8:37 UT. The second strongest event was a C7.9 flare originating from NOAA AR 2177 peaking at 16:18 UT. Some further C flares were reported including from regions 2172 and 2173. Further growth was recorded in the main regions at play 2175, 2172 and 2173. The occurrence of M class flares has become quite possible or even likely. No Earth directed CME's were recorded. Solar wind speed decreased slightly from around 460 km/s to around 420 km/s. Total magnetic field was variable mainly within the 5 to 7 nT range. Some periods with dominant negative Bz (peaks to under -6nT) were observed at the start of the reporting period as well as after UT midnight. Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to active (both NOAA Kp and local K Dourbes 2-4). Quiet to active geomagnetic conditions are expected in the first two days with later quiet to unsettled conditions.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):109,基於10個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 26 Sep 2014

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數///
10厘米太陽通量170
AK Chambon La Forêt028
AK Wingst017
估計地磁Ap指數018
估計國際太陽黑子數122 - 基於14個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

開始最大值結束位置強度OP10cm卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局電波爆發類型
27083208370840----M1.0--/----

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

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