查看星期一, 10 11月 2014歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2014 Nov 10 1243 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

地磁

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

太陽質子

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

	10公分通量	Ap
10 Nov 2014	134	023
11 Nov 2014	139	010
12 Nov 2014	144	007

公告

NOAA active region 2205 produced another M flare (M2.3) peaking at 15:32 UT as well as another handful of C flares. The CME corresponding to yesterdays filament eruption is confirmed to be non Earth directed. Flaring at M level is expected to continue from region 2205, while old region 2192 is about to rotate back onto the disc. With NOAA AR rotating onto the western hemisphere chances for a proton event are increasing. Solar wind total magnetic field experienced a jump around 1:30 UT, increasing suddenly from around 10 nT to around 24 nT. Bz was mostly positive after the jump but had peaks to below -8nT and there was an extended period of -8nT yesterday late before the shock. Solar wind speed increased from levels around 440 km/s to levels around 480 km/s with peaks over 550 km/s. Also density and temperature saw a slight increase. This thus marks the earlier than expected arrival of the November 7 CME. Total magnetic field has meanwhile decreased again to levels near 13 nT. Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled, reaching active levels with the shock arrival. Fluctuating solar wind conditions may last for the remainder of the day with possible periods of active geomagnetic conditions.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數（ISN）：051，基於17個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 09 Nov 2014

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數	///
10厘米太陽通量	132
AK Chambon La Forêt	021
AK Wingst	011
估計地磁Ap指數	010
估計國際太陽黑子數	062 - 基於19個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

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