發布時間: 2014 Nov 30 1226 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov 2014 | 178 | 006 |
| 01 Dec 2014 | 176 | 006 |
| 02 Dec 2014 | 178 | 005 |
NOAA 2222 produced 3 C-class flares over the last 24 hours, NOAA 2221 and 2219 each 2. The latter group was also the source of the strongest event, a C6.5 flare peaking at 13:49UT. These three groups have all some mixed magnetic polarities. The other groups were quiet. C-class flaring is expected, with a small chance on low-level M-class flares. CACTus reported two wide angle CMEs. The first wide CME (94 degrees) became visible in LASCO/C2 on 28 November at 22:00UT, and may be related to the filament eruption earlier that day. The other wide CME (110 degrees) was first observed on 29 November at 00:12UT. However, this seems to be a superposition of at least 2 separate CMEs, with the part first visible at 02:24UT related to a prominence eruption around 02:00UT at the northeast limb. None of the observed CMEs has an Earth-directed component. Solar wind speed was stable between 360 and 430 km/s. The IMF is directed towards the Sun, with Bz mostly positive varying between 0 and +10 nT, and an occasional negative excursion to -7 nT. The geomagnetic field was quiet (K<3). Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be quiet to unsettled.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):101,基於05個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | /// |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 177 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 008 |
| AK Wingst | 004 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 003 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 118 - 基於21個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 無 | ||||||||||
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