發布時間: 2014 Dec 08 1211 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec 2014 | 140 | 006 |
| 09 Dec 2014 | 145 | 007 |
| 10 Dec 2014 | 150 | 007 |
The background of the Xray flux (measured by GOES) is currently at the higher B-level. Only 3 minor C-class flares were observed, originating from NOAA AR 2222 (Catania group 24) and 2231 (no Catania number yet). NOAA 2231 emerged yesterday and developed to a beta region. Flaring at the lower C-level is expected. As NOAA 2222 is approaching the west limb, despite the reduced flaring potential, an eruption might still be accompanied by an increased solar proton flux. No Earth directed CMEs were observed. The Earth is still inside a fast flow, but with decreasing solar wind speed values (from 800 to 600 km/s, measured by ACE). The interplanetary magnetic field has a magnitude between 3 and 7 nT with a fluctuating Bz component. Yesterday afternoon (UT time), active to minor storm conditions were reached (to 5 for local K at Dourbes and estimated NOAA Kp) due to the arrival of a coronal hole high speed stream. K returned to quiet conditions again. Quiet to unsettled magnetic conditions are expected.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):043,基於11個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | /// |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 132 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 037 |
| AK Wingst | 031 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 031 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 042 - 基於09個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 無 | ||||||||||
由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理
所有時間均採用 UTC 時間
很多網友來到 SpaceWeatherLive 追蹤太陽活動或極光觀測機會,但隨著流量增加,維持伺服器運作的成本也隨之越高。若您喜歡 SpaceWeatherLive 並想支持這個計畫,可選擇訂閱無廣告版本,或考慮捐款。有了您的幫助,我們才能讓 SpaceWeatherLive 持續運作!
| 上一個 X-閃焰 | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| 上一個 M-閃焰 | 20/12/2025 | M1.0 |
| 上一個 地球磁爆 | 12/12/2025 | Kp5 (G1) |
| 無黑子天數 | |
|---|---|
| 上一個無黑子日 | 08/06/2022 |
| 黑子數月平均 | |
|---|---|
| 11月 2025 | 91.8 -22.8 |
| 12月 2025 | 120.8 +29 |
| 過去 30 天內 | 109.9 +21.6 |