發布時間: 2015 Apr 26 1230 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr 2015 | 123 | 008 |
| 27 Apr 2015 | 121 | 015 |
| 28 Apr 2015 | 119 | 007 |
Solar flaring activity was low with just two C flares occurring over the period. The largest was a long duration event from over the western limb, peaking at 18:49UT at C1.9 magnitude. It was associated with an eruption and CME, which appears to be not directed to Earth. Another C1.0 flare from Catania group 37 (NOAA region 2331) peaked just before the end of the period at 11:49UT. Flaring at C level is expected over the next days. An asymmetric full halo CME was also visible in SoHO/LASCO coronagraph data from 14:48UT onwards in the C2 field of view. No related on disc activity could be associated, and the event is believed to be backsided and hence not geoeffective. Solar wind was at nominal levels with speeds in the 290-330 km/s range and total magnetic field in the 2.1-4.6 nT range. Bz was variable though initially mostly positive. Phi angle was stable in the outward sector. Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled (NOAA Kp 0-1, local K Dourbes 0-3). Nominal solar wind conditions with associated quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions are expected to continue over the next days. Some possible sector boundary crossings could slightly enhance solar wind conditions.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):042,基於11個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | /// |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 126 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 003 |
| AK Wingst | 002 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 001 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 051 - 基於16個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 無 | ||||||||||
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