發布時間: 2015 Mar 30 1230 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar 2015 | 142 | 009 |
| 31 Mar 2015 | 139 | 029 |
| 01 Apr 2015 | 136 | 013 |
Four sunspot groups are reported by Catania today. The strongest flare during the last 24 hours was the C4.7 flare peaking at 01:52 UT in the NOAA AR 2303 that just passed behind the north-west solar limb (and therefore does not have a Catania number anymore). We expect flaring activity on the low C-level in the next 48 hours. A partial halo CME was first seen in the SOHO/LASCO C2 field of view at 18:24 UT on March 29. It had the angular width of around 190 degrees and the plane-of-the-sky projected speed of around 700 km/s. SDO/AIA data indicate that this was a far-side event. It will therefore not arrive at the Earth and have no geomagnetic consequences. The Earth is currently inside a slow (around 340 km/s) solar wind flow with average (around 6 nT) interplanetary magnetic field magnitude. The geomagnetic conditions are quiet and are expected to remain so until the arrival of a fast flow from a low-latitude extension of the southern polar coronal hole later today or early tomorrow. Geomagnetic disturbance up to the minor storm level is expected.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):043,基於17個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | /// |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 145 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 013 |
| AK Wingst | 012 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 013 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 053 - 基於12個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 無 | ||||||||||
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