發布時間: 2015 Sep 13 1332 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2015 | 099 | 010 |
| 14 Sep 2015 | 102 | 020 |
| 15 Sep 2015 | 104 | 014 |
Solar activity is low, with the last C-class flare reported on September 11 (C1.3 flare peaked at 21:37 UT). C-class flares, and possibly but not very probably also an isolated M-class flare can be expected from the NOAA AR 12415 and NOAA AR 12414 which maintained the beta-gamma configuration of its photospheric magnetic field. No Earth directed CMEs were observed in the last 24 hours.
The solar wind speed is about 480 km/s and the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is currently 6 nT. Since 06 UT this morning the Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field had two long southward intervals with the value of -4 nT. Currently the geomagnetic conditions are quiet. We expect such conditions to persist in the coming hours. The active to geomagnetic storm conditions are expected on September 14 due to arrival of the fast flow from the low latitude coronal hole at north solar hemisphere which has crossed central meridian on the mid-day of September 11.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):083,基於09個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | /// |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | /// |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | /// |
| AK Wingst | /// |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | /// |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 083 - 基於18個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 無 | ||||||||||
由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理
所有時間均採用 UTC 時間
很多網友來到 SpaceWeatherLive 追蹤太陽活動或極光觀測機會,但隨著流量增加,維持伺服器運作的成本也隨之越高。若您喜歡 SpaceWeatherLive 並想支持這個計畫,可選擇訂閱無廣告版本,或考慮捐款。有了您的幫助,我們才能讓 SpaceWeatherLive 持續運作!
| 上一個 X-閃焰 | 04/02/2026 | X4.21 |
| 上一個 M-閃焰 | 25/02/2026 | M2.4 |
| 上一個 地球磁爆 | 03/03/2026 | Kp5 (G1) |
| 無黑子天數 | |
|---|---|
| 過去 365 天內 | 3天 |
| 2026 | 3天 (5%) |
| 上一個無黑子日 | 24/02/2026 |
| 黑子數月平均 | |
|---|---|
| 1月 2026 | 112.6 -11.4 |
| 3月 2026 | 75 -37.6 |
| 過去 30 天內 | 59.2 -65.5 |