查看星期一, 14 9月 2015歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2015 Sep 14 1230 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

地磁

Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)

太陽質子

Quiet

	10公分通量	Ap
14 Sep 2015	099	013
15 Sep 2015	101	029
16 Sep 2015	102	018

公告

The three currently visible sunspot groups have been quiet during the last 24 hours. Only NOAA 2415 is showing some magnetic mixing in its leading portion. No significant flaring has been observed since late on 11 September. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections have been observed.

Mostly quiet flaring conditions are expected, with a small chance on a C-class flare.

Solar wind speed declined from its initial 480 km/s to about 400 km/s around 07:00UT this morning, then rising to its current 500 km/s probably in response to the arrival of the high speed stream (HSS) of the northern coronal hole's extension. Since about 18:00UT, Bz has been oscillating between mostly -9 and +7 nT, with the interplanetary magnetic field pointing away from the Sun. Quiet to active geomagnetic conditions were observed. A wide coronal hole (CH) is transiting the central meridian (CM). Its trailing transequatorial extension is expected to start its CM transit on 15 September.

Mostly active geomagnetic conditions are expected over the next few days, with possible episodes of minor storming on 14 and 15 September, and minor to moderate storming on 18 and 19 September.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數（ISN）：052，基於14個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 13 Sep 2015

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數	///
10厘米太陽通量	///
AK Chambon La Forêt	020
AK Wingst	014
估計地磁Ap指數	013
估計國際太陽黑子數	078 - 基於20個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

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