發布時間: 2021 Nov 28 1231 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov 2021 | 092 | 015 |
| 29 Nov 2021 | 093 | 007 |
| 30 Nov 2021 | 094 | 007 |
Three active regions visible on the Sun (beta magnetic field configuration). There have been no C-class flares in the past 24 hours, but the regions have grown in size, elevating the X-ray background. As a result, C-class flares can be expected in the next 24 hours.
No Earth directed CMEs were observed in the past 24 hours.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours, and is expected to stay at nominal levels in the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours, and is expected to stay at nominal levels in the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was at normal levels in the past 24 hours, and is expected to stay at normal levels in the next 24 hours.
A shock from the 24 November CME arrived to DSCOVR at 21:50 UT on 27 November. The magnetic field jumped from 6 nT to 13 nT (reaching 17 nT later) and the speed from 300 km/s to 380 km/s. The bulk of the ICME seems to have passed south of the Earth and its effect was weak. Bz reached -16 nT, but only briefly, with V around 400 km/s. This led to only unsettled geomagnetic conditions (K-BEL and Kp up to 3). The magnetic field is still relatively elevated (around 10 nT), more unsettled conditions can be expected (with possible active periods) in the next 24 hours.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):045,基於08個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | /// |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 092 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 013 |
| AK Wingst | 003 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 004 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 038 - 基於23個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 無 | ||||||||||
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