發布時間: 2023 Nov 18 1231 UTC
M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov 2023 | 120 | 007 |
| 19 Nov 2023 | 122 | 007 |
| 20 Nov 2023 | 126 | 007 |
There are two active regions visible on the disk. The strongest flare was an M1.2 from an unnumbered region on the east limb, peaking at 05:42 UTC. More M-class flares are possible in the next 24 hours.
No Earth directed CMEs were observed in the last 24 hours.
Two coronal holes crossed the central meridian in the past 24 hours, one with negative polarity at high northern latitudes and an equatorial one with positive polarity.
The Earth is immersed in slow solar wind, over the last 24 hours solar wind speed has decreased to 300 km/s and the interplanetary magnetic field is around 5 nT. Same conditions are expected for the next 24 hours.
During the last 24 hours the geomagnetic conditions were quiet globally and locally (NOAA KP 1, K_Bel 1). Mostly quiet conditions are expected for the next 24 hours.
Over the past 24 hours the greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux was below threshold and is expected to remain so over the next 24 hours.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was below the 1000 pfu threshold, as measured by GOES 16. It is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours. The 24 hour electron fluence was at normal levels, it is expected to stay at those levels for the next 24 hours.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):033,基於07個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | 040 |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 120 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 005 |
| AK Wingst | 004 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 003 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 027 - 基於23個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0537 | 0542 | 0550 | ---- | M1.2 | --/---- |
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