查看星期三, 13 3月 2024歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2024 Mar 13 1235 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

地磁

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

太陽質子

Quiet

	10公分通量	Ap
13 Mar 2024	131	014
14 Mar 2024	129	016
15 Mar 2024	127	007

太陽活動區和耀斑

There are five active regions visible on the solar disk. NOAA AR 3599 is decaying in size and complexity (beta-gamma magnetic field configuration), but still producing most of the recent flaring. The strongest flare was a C2.7 that peaked at 18:15 UTC on 12 March, from NOAA AR 3599. More C-class flares are expected, M-class flares are possible.

日冕物質拋射

No Earth-directed CMEs were detected in the available coronagraph observations in the last 24 hours.

日冕洞

An equatorial (positive polarity) coronal hole crossed the central meridian on March 10. The high speed solar wind from this coronal hole may arrive at Earth in the next 24 hours.

太陽風

The Earth is inside slow solar wind, with speeds close to 430 km/s and an interplanetary magnetic field around 7 nT. The arrival of the high speed stream expected for today may create disturbed conditions. There are low chances of seeing a glancing blow from the 10 March CME.

地磁

Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled both global and locally (NOAA_Kp up to 3 and K_BEL up to 3). A glancing blow from the 10 March CME and a high speed stream could arrive in the next 24 hours and cause up to minor storm levels.

質子通量水平

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was below the threshold level over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so for the next 24 hours.

地球靜止軌道上的電子通量

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux from GOES 16 was below the threshold level in the last 24 hours. It is expected to remain below the threshold during the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at normal level and is expected to remain so.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數（ISN）：081，基於08個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 12 Mar 2024

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數	116
10厘米太陽通量	131
AK Chambon La Forêt	008
AK Wingst	006
估計地磁Ap指數	005
估計國際太陽黑子數	084 - 基於15個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

所有時間均採用 UTC 時間

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