查看星期日, 26 5月 2024歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2024 May 26 1231 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

地磁

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

太陽質子

Quiet

10公分通量Ap
26 May 2024152007
27 May 2024154007
28 May 2024156007

太陽活動區和耀斑

There are seven visible ARs on the solar disk. Solar activity has been low, only C-class flaring in the last 24 hours. The region that was creating most of the activity, NOAA AR 3679, has now rotated out of view. The strongest flare was a C5.3 one peaking at 09:36 UTC, from NOAA AR 3691. This is the AR that caused several X-flares in the last rotation. Still showing a beta-gamma-delta magnetic field configuration, this AR has potential for strong flares, but seems so far calmer than in the previous rotation. More C-class flares can be expected and M-class flares are possible.

日冕物質拋射

No Earth directed CME has been observed in the last 24 hours.

太陽風

The solar wind at the Earth is slow, with speeds around 360 km/s and interplanetary magnetic field around 6 nT. Similar conditions can be expected for the next 24 hours. There are low chances of a glancing blow of the CME from 23 May after that.

地磁

Geomagnetic conditions have been mostly quiet both at planetary and local levels (Kp and K_Bel up to 3).Similar conditions can be expected in the next 24 hours. A glancing blow from the 23 May CME (with low chances of arrival) may create active conditions.

質子通量水平

The 10 MeV GOES-18 proton flux was below threshold in the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours.

地球靜止軌道上的電子通量

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux from GOES 16 was below the threshold level in the last 24 hours. It is expected to remain below the threshold during the next 24 hours. The electron fluence was at normal levels for the last 24 hours and is expected to remain so.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):113,基於16個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 25 May 2024

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數///
10厘米太陽通量152
AK Chambon La Forêt010
AK Wingst009
估計地磁Ap指數007
估計國際太陽黑子數104 - 基於26個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

開始最大值結束位置強度OP10cm卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局電波爆發類型

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

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