查看星期二, 26 11月 2024歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2024 Nov 26 1231 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)

地磁

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

太陽質子

Quiet

10公分通量Ap
26 Nov 2024235006
27 Nov 2024240005
28 Nov 2024250003

太陽活動區和耀斑

Solar flaring activity was moderate over the past 24 hours, with 4 M-class flares identified. SIDC Sunspot Group 322 (NOAA active region 3905) produced two of those flares, an M2.0 (SIDC flare 2717) on 25 Nov at 12:12 UTC and an M1.0 (SIDC flare 2718) on 25 Nov at 16:36 UTC. The third M-class flare (SIDC flare 2714) was emitted by an Active Region (AR) at E89N16 on 25 Nov at 17:07 UTC. The forth was an M1.9 that peaked on 25 Nov at 20:54 UTC (SIDC flare 2715) and is associated with the SIDC Sunspot Group 298 (NOAA Active Region 3901). More M-class flaring activity is expected in the next 24 hours, mostly from the pair of SIDC Sunspot Groups 322 and 323 (NOAA AR 3906). Additionally, there is a chance of an X-class flare in the next 24 hours also from the same pair of AR.

日冕物質拋射

No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CME) were observed in the last 24 hours.

太陽風

The Solar Wind (SW) conditions were typical of the slow SW regime during the last 24 hours. The SW speed gradually dropped from 450 km/h to 350 km/h in the last 24 hours. The total interplanetary magnetic field (Bt) varied between 1 and 8 nT and its North-South component (Bz) ranged between -7 and 7 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field phi angle was predominately directed towards the Sun during the past 24 hours. The solar wind speed is expected to remain in the slow SW regime during the next 24 hours.

地磁

During the last 24 hours geomagnetic conditions were globally and locally quiet to unsettled (NOAA Kp 1 to 3+ and K BEL 1 to 3). In the next 24 hours they are expected to be at quiet levels both globally and locally.

質子通量水平

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux, as measured by the GOES-18 satellite, was at nominal levels over the past 24 hours and is likely to remain so. However, there is the possibility of a proton even in the next 24 hours.

地球靜止軌道上的電子通量

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux as measured by GOES 18 was below the 1000 pfu threshold and is expected to remain below this threshold over the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at nominal levels and is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):153,基於14個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 25 Nov 2024

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數///
10厘米太陽通量220
AK Chambon La Forêt019
AK Wingst009
估計地磁Ap指數011
估計國際太陽黑子數168 - 基於14個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

開始最大值結束位置強度OP10cm卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局電波爆發類型
25120112121217S12E40M2.0SF14/3905VI/1
25160716361658----M1.0--/----
25165817071716----M1.5--/----
25202420542123S09W25M1.92F03/3901VI/2

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

所有時間均採用 UTC 時間

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