查看星期三, 5 3月 2025歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2025 Mar 05 1231 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)

地磁

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

太陽質子

Quiet

10公分通量Ap
05 Mar 2025161008
06 Mar 2025155006
07 Mar 2025150005

太陽活動區和耀斑

Solar flaring activity was moderate over the past 24 hours, with an M1.7 flare emitted from SIDC Sunspot Group 423 (NOAA Active Region 4012, at S13E28, Beta-Gamma magnetic configuration) 5 Mar at 11:50 UTC. During the next 24 hours further M-class flaring from the same SIDC sunspot group is likely to take place.

日冕物質拋射

No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CME) were observed in the last 24 hours.

太陽風

The Solar Wind (SW) conditions were affected by a minor glancing blow from a Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) launched on 1 Mar, that arrived a few hours earlier than expected. However, this event had a minor effect on the SW conditions that were mostly typical of the slow regime. The SW speed gradually decreased from 530 to 410 km/s, while the interplanetary magnetic field (B) ranged between 3 to 9 nT in the last 24 hours. Its North-South component (Bz) registered values between -8 and 7 nT during the same period. The SW conditions are expected to remain in the slow SW regime over the next 24 hours.

地磁

The geomagnetic conditions gradually reached active levels both globally and locally (NOAA Kp 4+ and K BEL 4) between 4 Mar 21:00 and 24:00 UTC. However, after 5 Mar 03:00 UTC the conditions dropped back to quiet levels and they are expected to raise up to unsettled levels both globally and locally in the next 24 hours.

質子通量水平

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux, as measured by the GOES-18 satellite, was at nominal levels over the past 24 hours and is likely to remain so in the next 24 hours.

地球靜止軌道上的電子通量

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux, as measured by the GOES-18 satellite, marginally exceed the 1000 pfu threshold on 4 Mar between 18:05 and 23:45 UTC. For the next 24 hours it is expected to remain at this level. The 24h electron fluence decreased to normal levels over the past 24 hours. It is expected to remain at normal levels, but stay close to the moderate threshold during the next 24 hours.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):148,基於19個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 04 Mar 2025

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數189
10厘米太陽通量160
AK Chambon La Forêt026
AK Wingst013
估計地磁Ap指數014
估計國際太陽黑子數159 - 基於25個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

開始最大值結束位置強度OP10cm卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局電波爆發類型
05114511501154----M1.7--/----III/1

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

所有時間均採用 UTC 時間

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