發布時間: 2025 Mar 15 1231 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
| 10公分通量 | Ap | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2025 | 185 | 018 |
| 16 Mar 2025 | 185 | 017 |
| 17 Mar 2025 | 185 | 017 |
Solar flaring activity was moderate over the past 24 hours, with 1 M-class flare identified. The largest flare was a M1.1 flare (SIDC Flare 3844) peaking on March 14 at 22:21 UTC, which was produced by SIDC Sunspot Group 437 (NOAA Active Region 4030). A total of 10 numbered sunspot groups were identified on the disk over the past 24 hours. SIDC Sunspot Group 428 (NOAA Active Region 4019) has the most complex magnetic configuration (Beta-Delta) and was decreasing over the past 24 hours. Solar flaring activity is expected to be low over the next 24 hours, with C-class flares very likely and a chance for M-class flares.
No new Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected in the available coronagraph images.
Earth continued to be under the influence of high speed streams (HSS). The solar wind speed was around 560 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field was between 8 nT and 5 nT, with the Bz reaching a minimum value of -6 nT. In the next 24 hours, we expect a gradual transition from fast to slow solar wind.
Geomagnetic conditions were globally and locally unsettled to active (KP4) in the past 24 hours. Unsettled conditions are expected in the next 24 hours.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained below the 10 pfu threshold and is expected to remain so over the next days.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux exceeded the 1000 pfu threshold for most of the time during the past 24 hours, and is expected to remain above the threshold during the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at normal levels and is expected to remain so.
今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):161,基於09個觀測站。
| 卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數 | 221 |
| 10厘米太陽通量 | 180 |
| AK Chambon La Forêt | 031 |
| AK Wingst | 022 |
| 估計地磁Ap指數 | 025 |
| 估計國際太陽黑子數 | 173 - 基於17個觀測站 |
| 日 | 開始 | 最大值 | 結束 | 位置 | 強度 | OP | 10cm | 卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 | 電波爆發類型 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 2218 | 2221 | 2232 | ---- | M1.1 | --/4030 |
由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理
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| 上一個 M-閃焰 | 20/12/2025 | M1.0 |
| 上一個 地球磁爆 | 12/12/2025 | Kp5 (G1) |
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