查看星期一, 23 6月 2025歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2025 Jun 23 1245 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

地磁

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

太陽質子

Quiet

10公分通量Ap
23 Jun 2025130010
24 Jun 2025130023
25 Jun 2025129037

太陽活動區和耀斑

Solar flaring activity was low over the past 24 hours, with only C-class flares identified. The largest flare was a C3.4 flare peaking at 05:47 UTC on June 23, which was produced by a back- sided sunspot group on the NW limb. A total of 5 numbered sunspot groups were identified on the disk over the past 24 hours. Four sunspot groups (SIDC Sunspot Groups 522, 523, 526, and 527) have beta magnetic configurations. The solar flaring activity is expected to be at low to moderate levels over the next 24 hours with C-class flares expected, M-class flares probable, and a small chance of X-class flares.

日冕物質拋射

No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CME) were detected in the available coronagraph observations during last 24 hours.

日冕洞

SIDC Coronal Hole 116 (negative polarity), which spans from 20 S to 30 N, is still crossing the central meridian. The high speed stream from this coronal hole are expected to enhance the solar wind environment near Earth on Jun 24-25.

太陽風

Solar wind conditions are transitioning from fast to slow solar wind. The solar wind speed ranged from 355 km/s to 530 km/s. The North- South component (Bz) ranged between -6 nT and 5 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field ranged between 3 nT and 7 nT. In the next 24 hours, we expect a transition to slow solar wind conditions unless the high speed stream, from the SIDC Coronal Hole 116 (negative polarity) which started to cross the central meridian on Jun 21, arrives earlier at Earth.

地磁

Geomagnetic conditions were at quiet to unsettled conditions (NOAA Kp 1 to 3) both globally and locally. We expect quiet to unsettled conditions (K 1 to 3) in the next 24 hours unless the high speed stream, from the SIDC Coronal Hole 116 (negative polarity) which started to cross the central meridian on Jun 21, arrives earlier at Earth.

質子通量水平

The greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux was below the threshold level over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so for the next 24 hours. If any major flare occurs from SIDC Sunspot Group 523 (NOAA Active Region 4114), which is presently closer to the W limb, it could possibly be associated with a proton event in the coming hours.

地球靜止軌道上的電子通量

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux, as measured by GOES-19, remained below the 1000 pfu threshold level over the past 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux, as measured by GOES-18 satellite, mostly remained below the threshold level, except from 17:45 UTC to 22:30 UTC on Jun 22, when it fluctuated around the threshold level. In the next 24 hours, the electron flux is expected to remain below the threshold level, but increasing above the threshold level cannot be excluded. The 24h electron fluence is presently at normal level, and it is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數(ISN):090,基於19個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 22 Jun 2025

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數///
10厘米太陽通量125
AK Chambon La Forêt019
AK Wingst014
估計地磁Ap指數013
估計國際太陽黑子數094 - 基於24個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

開始最大值結束位置強度OP10cm卡塔尼亞天體物理觀測站/美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局電波爆發類型

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

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