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SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2025 Jul 20 1231 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

地磁

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

太陽質子

Quiet

	10公分通量	Ap
20 Jul 2025	155	008
21 Jul 2025	150	006
22 Jul 2025	145	005

太陽活動區和耀斑

Solar flaring activity was low over the past 24 hours, with seven C-class flares identified. SIDC Sunspot Group 559 (NOAA Active Region [AR] 4143, Beta-Gamma magnetic configuration) produced three of those flares. SIDC Sunspot Group 562 (NOAA AR 4136, Beta-Gamma magnetic configuration) and SIDC Sunspot Group 564 (NOAA AR 4149, Beta magnetic configuration) produced two flares each. The brightest flare of the past 24 hours was SIDC flare 4922, a double-peaked C7 flare with the highest peak on 20 Jul at 07:41 UTC. More C-class flaring activity is expected in the next 24 hours, with a chance of an isolated M-class flare.

日冕物質拋射

No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CME) were observed in the last 24 hours.

日冕洞

SIDC Coronal Hole (CH) 116 with negative polarity started crossing the central solar meridian during the past 24 hours. Due to its elongated and irregular shape it is not expected to produce a very fast High Speed Stream (HSS). In any case, any effects on the Earth's atmosphere from this CH crossing are expected to register on 23 Jul.

太陽風

The Solar Wind (SW) conditions returned to a slow SW regime during the past 24 hours. The SW speed dropped from 520 to 400 km/s, while the interplanetary magnetic field (B) ranged between 3 and 6 nT, and its North-South component (Bz) fluctuated between -5 and 5 nT. A similar pattern is expected for the next 24 hours.

地磁

The geomagnetic conditions registered globally quiet levels (NOAA Kp 1- to 2+) and locally quiet to unsettled levels (BEL 2 to 3). They are expected to remain at those levels during the next 24 hours.

質子通量水平

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux, as measured by the GOES-19 satellite, was at background levels over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours.

地球靜止軌道上的電子通量

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux, as measured by GOES 19, was above the 1000 pfu alert threshold during the past 24 hours. It is expected to remain above the alert threshold in the next 24 hours. The 24-hour electron fluence increased from moderate to high levels on 20 Jul at 05:00 UTC. It is expected to remain at high levels in the next 24 hours.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數（ISN）：157，基於12個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 19 Jul 2025

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數	///
10厘米太陽通量	153
AK Chambon La Forêt	014
AK Wingst	010
估計地磁Ap指數	009
估計國際太陽黑子數	159 - 基於19個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

所有時間均採用 UTC 時間

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