查看星期六, 25 10月 2025歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2025 Oct 25 1231 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

地磁

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

太陽質子

Quiet

	10公分通量	Ap
25 Oct 2025	133	017
26 Oct 2025	135	017
27 Oct 2025	137	043

太陽活動區和耀斑

Solar flaring activity was low over the past 24 hours, with several C-class flares recorded. The largest flare was a C1.6 flare (SIDC Flare 5872), peaking at 10:23 UTC on October 25, associated with SIDC Sunspot Group 653 (NOAA Active Region 4267; magnetic type alpha). There are currently seven numbered active regions on the visible solar disc. SIDC Sunspot Group 653 (NOAA Active Region 4267) was the main driver of the flaring activity observed over the past 24 hours, together with SIDC Sunspot Group 672 (NOAA Active Region 4256). SIDC Sunspot Group 607 (NOAA Active Region 4254; magnetic type alpha) is approaching the west limb. A new region emerged and was numbered SIDC Sunspot Group 683 (magnetic type beta) near S12E51, but remained quiet. The remaining active regions are relatively simple (magnetic type alpha or beta) and did not produce any significant flaring activity. Solar flaring activity is expected to be low over the next 24 hours, with C-class flares very likely and a small chance for M-class flares.

日冕物質拋射

The faint coronal mass ejection (SIDC CME 586) was observed in SOHO/LASCO-C2 imagery, starting at 14:36 UTC on October 23 and first reported yesterday. While the bulk of the ejecta is expected to miss Earth, a mild glancing blow could be possible on October 27. No other Earth-directed CMEs were detected in the available coronagraph imagery over the past 24 hours.

日冕洞

A large recurrent positive polarity coronal hole (SIDC Coronal Hole 134) reached the central meridian at around 12:00 UTC today. An associated high-speed stream may affect the solar wind environment near Earth from late October 27.

太陽風

Over the past 24 hours, solar wind parameters (ACE and DSCOVR) reflected the waning influence of a high-speed stream (HSS). The solar wind speed decreased from 580 to 430 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field remained weak, below 6 nT, and its southward component fluctuated between -6 nT and 6 nT. A gradual transition to slow solar wind conditions is expected over the next few days, with a chance of a weak enhancement from October 27 due to the possible glancing blow from SIDC CME 586 and the arrival of a high-speed stream from a large positive polarity coronal hole (SIDC Coronal Hole 134).

地磁

Geomagnetic conditions reached active levels globally (NOAA Kp = 4) between 03:00 and 06:00 UTC on October 25 and locally over Belgium (K-Bel = 4) at around 18:00 UTC on October 24, due to mild HSS influence. Mostly unsettled geomagnetic conditions are expected over the next 24 hours. On October 27-28, geomagnetic conditions are expected to reach active and minor storm levels, with a chance of isolated moderate storm periods due to the expected HSS and a possible glancing blow from SIDC CME 586.

質子通量水平

The greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux was below the 10 pfu threshold level over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so for the next 24 hours.

地球靜止軌道上的電子通量

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux measured by GOES 18 and GOES 19 was below the 1000 pfu threshold. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to remain below the 1000 pfu threshold over the next 24 hours. The 24-hour electron fluence was at normal levels and is expected to be at normal levels over the next 24 hours.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數（ISN）：099，基於07個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 24 Oct 2025

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數	105
10厘米太陽通量	134
AK Chambon La Forêt	020
AK Wingst	012
估計地磁Ap指數	012
估計國際太陽黑子數	098 - 基於26個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

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