查看星期一, 3 11月 2025歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2025 Nov 03 1256 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)

地磁

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

太陽質子

Quiet

	10公分通量	Ap
03 Nov 2025	134	011
04 Nov 2025	140	016
05 Nov 2025	144	013

太陽活動區和耀斑

Solar flaring activity was high over the past 24 hours, with 2 M-class flares identified. The largest flare was an M5.0 flare (SIDC Flare 5902) peaking on November 03 at 10:11 UTC, which was produced by SIDC Sunspot Group 687 (NOAA Active Region 4274). A total of 6 numbered sunspot groups were identified on the disk over the past 24 hours. SIDC Sunspot Group 687 (NOAA Active Region 4274), which has rotated over the east limb on the Suns visible disk is the largest and most magnetically complex (Beta-Gamma) region on disk and produced most of the flaring activity in the last 24 hours. Solar flaring activity is expected to be moderate over the next 24 hours, with M-class flares very likely and a small chance for X-class flares.

日冕物質拋射

A Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) seen in LASCO-C2 data around 05:24 UTC on November 03 and associated with SIDC Sunspot Group 687 is not expected to impact the Earth. A second CME also associated with SIDC Sunspot Group 687 was seen in LASCO-C2 data around 09:48 UTC on November 03. We are currently waiting for additional data to assess whether this second CME has an Earth directed component or not.

日冕洞

A recurring large coronal hole, SIDC Coronal Hole 116 (equatorial coronal hole with a negative polarity) first reached the central meridian on November 03. It’s associated high-speed stream is expected to arrive at Earth on November 06 (Other crossing times: October 08, September 10, August 15, July 20, June 22, May 26).

太陽風

Over the past 24 hours the solar wind conditions at Earth were under the waning influence of high-speed solar winds from SIDC Coronal Hole 123 (southern hemisphere, positive polarity) and 129 (northern hemisphere, positive polarity). The solar wind speed ranged from 430 km/s to 600 km/s. The total interplanetary magnetic field ranged from 6 to 9 nT, with the Bz reaching a minimum of -8 nT. Quite solar wind conditions are expected in the next 24 hours.

地磁

The geomagnetic conditions over the past 24 hours reached active conditions globally and locally (Kp 4 & K BEL 4). Active conditions are expected for the next 24 hours.

質子通量水平

The greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux was below the 10 pfu threshold level over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so for the next 24 hours.

地球靜止軌道上的電子通量

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux measured by GOES 18 and GOES 19 was above the 1000 pfu at the start of the reporting period. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to fluctuate around the 1000 pfu threshold over the next 24 hours. The 24-hour electron fluence was at moderate levels, it is expected to remain at moderate levels over the next 24 hours.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數（ISN）：068，基於11個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 02 Nov 2025

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數	///
10厘米太陽通量	123
AK Chambon La Forêt	025
AK Wingst	019
估計地磁Ap指數	020
估計國際太陽黑子數	043 - 基於14個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

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