查看星期日, 30 11月 2025歷史檔案

SIDC 太陽影響數據分析中心的每日公告

發布時間: 2025 Nov 30 1231 UTC

SIDC太陽影響數據分析中心的預報

太陽閃焰

M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)

地磁

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

太陽質子

Quiet

	10公分通量	Ap
30 Nov 2025	157	011
01 Dec 2025	170	011
02 Dec 2025	175	005

太陽活動區和耀斑

Solar flaring activity was moderate over the past 24 hours with four M-class flares emitted on the second half of 29 Nov. SIDC Sunspot Group (SG) 709 (NOAA Active Region 4294, Beta magnetic configuration) was the source of three of those flares, while the fourth came from a yet-unnamed region at N20E90. More specifically the brightest flare of the past 24 hours was an M2.8 that peaked at 16:07 UTC and was located at N20E90. SIDC SG 709 produced an M1.1 at 13:16 UTC, an M1.4 at 20:14 UTC, and an M1.4 at 21:48 UTC. In the next 24 hours more M-class flaring activity is expected from the two locations mentioned above. There is also a chance of X-class flare(s) from either location.

日冕物質拋射

No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CME) were observed in the last 24 hours. A CME seen in LASCO-C2 images as launched on 29 Nov at 05:48 UTC is not expected to affect the Earth.

太陽風

Over the past 24 hours, the Solar Wind (SW) parameters (ACE and DSCOVR) continued to gradually return to a slow SW regime. The SW speed gradually decreased from about 650 km/s to 550 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field (B) varied between 1 and 8 nT and its North-South component (Bz) fluctuated between -6 and 5 nT. The SW speed is expected to continue its slow decline and the magnetic field is expected continue at similar levels in the next 24 hours.

地磁

During the last 24 hours geomagnetic conditions were globally and locally quiet to active (NOAA Kp 2+ to 4 and K BEL 2 to 4). In the next 24 hours they are expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels both globally and locally.

質子通量水平

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux, as measured by the GOES-19 satellite, was at background levels over the past 24 hours and is likely to remain so in the next 24 hours. Nevertheless there is a small chance that a proton event, associated with SIDC SG 709, might occur during the next 24 hours.

地球靜止軌道上的電子通量

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux, as measured by GOES-19, was above the 1000 pfu threshold during the past 24 hours with a peak value of 23000 pfu on 29 Nov at 16:40 UTC. The electron flux is expected to feature a further increase over the next day. The 24-hour electron fluence crossed to high levels on 29 Nov at 18:25 UTC. It is expected to marginally increase and remain at high levels for the next 24 hours.

今日估計的國際太陽黑子數（ISN）：107，基於20個觀測站。

太陽活動指數 29 Nov 2025

卡塔尼亞沃爾夫數	///
10厘米太陽通量	160
AK Chambon La Forêt	032
AK Wingst	020
估計地磁Ap指數	021
估計國際太陽黑子數	088 - 基於13個觀測站

顯著活動摘要

由太陽影響數據分析中心提供© - SIDC - 由 SpaceWeatherLive處理

所有時間均採用 UTC 時間

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