Prohlížíte si archiv úterý 10. června 2014

Denní bulletin o sluneční a geomagnetické aktivitě ze SIDC

Vydáno: 2014 Jun 10 1248 UTC

SIDC Předpověď

Sluneční erupce

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Sluneční protony

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

	10cm tok	Ap
10 Jun 2014	166	007
11 Jun 2014	170	005
12 Jun 2014	178	006

Bulletin

The strongest flare in the past 24 hours was an impulsive X2.2 flare peaking at about 11:42 UT on June 10. The flare originated from the active region which just rotated from the behind of the east solar limb. The SDO/AIA data indicate that the flare was possibly associated with the CME. The active region at the east solar limb which produced the X-class flare today is very likely to be the source of more strong flares. We therefore expect C-class, M-class and also possibly X-class flares. The Catania sunspot groups 69 and 76 (NOAA AR 2080 and 2085, respectively) which currently have beta-gamma-delta configuration of the photospheric magnetic field are also very probable source of flaring activity. The Catania sunspot groups 69 and 76 (NOAA AR 2080 and 2085, respectively) are currently situated in the western solar hemisphere. The major eruption from one of these sunspot groups may lead to a proton event, so we issue warning condition for a proton event. The solar wind speed is about 430 km/s, and the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is currently 7 nT. We expect quiet geomagnetic conditions in the coming hours.

Dnešní odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn (ISN): 115, na základě 16 stanic.

Solární indexy za 09 Jun 2014

Wolfovo číslo Catania	219
10cm sluneční tok	161
AK Chambon La Forêt	013
AK Wingst	007
Odhadovaný Ap	006
Odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn	112 - Na základě 33 stanic

Souhrn významných událostí

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