Prohlížíte si archiv pondělí 25. srpna 2014

Denní bulletin o sluneční a geomagnetické aktivitě ze SIDC

Vydáno: 2014 Aug 25 1250 UTC

SIDC Předpověď

Sluneční erupce

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Sluneční protony

Quiet

	10cm tok	Ap
25 Aug 2014	142	005
26 Aug 2014	142	014
27 Aug 2014	142	010

Bulletin

The Sun produced several C-class flares and one isolated M-class flare. The C-class flares mainly originated from NOAA AR 2149. A partial halo CME was visible in SOHO/LASCO C2 imagery with first measurement on August 24 at 12:36 UT. The CME was also visible in Stereo B/COR2 images from 13:24 UT onwards. The CME is associated with a M6 flare peaking at 12:17 UT and a type II radio burst (shock speed estimated at 593 km/s by the San Vito station). NOAA AR 2151 is identified to be source region. The CME is propagating in the eastern direction from the Sun- Earth line with a projected line-of-sight speed of 473 km/s (CACTus estimate). Due to the position of the source region, the CME is not expected to have an Earth-directed component. Two filament eruptions occurred; one centered at S30E35 on August 24 at 13:29 UT and one centered at N15W15 lifting off on August 25 at 7:09 UT. No associated CMEs were identified so far. Flaring activity is expected to continue with C-class flares and potentially an M-class flare. Solar wind speed has decreased till 260 km/s currently. The amplitude of the interplanetary magnetic field ranged from 0 to 6 nT, with a varying Bz component. The phi angle was mostly negative (toward), but changed to positive (away) at 11:00 UT. Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled and are expected to remain so until the combined arrival of the August 22 CME's. This may potentially result in active geomagnetic conditions from the afternoon of August 26 onwards.

Dnešní odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn (ISN): 086, na základě 11 stanic.

Solární indexy za 24 Aug 2014

Wolfovo číslo Catania	///
10cm sluneční tok	141
AK Chambon La Forêt	004
AK Wingst	003
Odhadovaný Ap	002
Odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn	104 - Na základě 22 stanic

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