Prohlížíte si archiv úterý 28. října 2014

Denní bulletin o sluneční a geomagnetické aktivitě ze SIDC

Vydáno: 2014 Oct 28 1245 UTC

SIDC Předpověď

Sluneční erupce

Major flares expected (X-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Sluneční protony

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

	10cm tok	Ap
28 Oct 2014	165	014
29 Oct 2014	160	006
30 Oct 2014	150	007

Bulletin

Another X-class flare was produced by Catania sunspot group 88 (NOAA AR 2192); an X2.1 flare peaked at 14:47 UT on October 27. Also three M-class and several C-class flares were added to the activity list of this region. No associated CME was observed, nor was there an increase in proton flux. The region retains its area and magnetic complexity and has still high potential to produce additional flares up to the X-level. It is currently located close to the West limb and a strong eruption may result in a rise of the proton flux. The extended filament in the northern hemisphere has the potential to lift off and produce an Earth- directed CME. Earth is inside a slow solar wind, with a speed near 400 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field magnitude reaches values up to 8 nT, with an often southward oriented Bz. Mostly quiet geomagnetic conditions are observed, with a few isolated time slots of active (K=4, measured at Dourbes) conditions. Quiet to active conditions are expected to continue.

Dnešní odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn (ISN): 071, na základě 13 stanic.

Solární indexy za 27 Oct 2014

Wolfovo číslo Catania	///
10cm sluneční tok	188
AK Chambon La Forêt	020
AK Wingst	015
Odhadovaný Ap	015
Odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn	083 - Na základě 24 stanic

Souhrn významných událostí

Poskytuje Centrum pro analýzu dat o solárních vlivech© - SIDC - Zpracováno SpaceWeatherLive

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