Prohlížíte si archiv pondělí 10. listopadu 2014

Denní bulletin o sluneční a geomagnetické aktivitě ze SIDC

Vydáno: 2014 Nov 10 1243 UTC

SIDC Předpověď

Sluneční erupce

Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetismus

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Sluneční protony

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

	10cm tok	Ap
10 Nov 2014	134	023
11 Nov 2014	139	010
12 Nov 2014	144	007

Bulletin

NOAA active region 2205 produced another M flare (M2.3) peaking at 15:32 UT as well as another handful of C flares. The CME corresponding to yesterdays filament eruption is confirmed to be non Earth directed. Flaring at M level is expected to continue from region 2205, while old region 2192 is about to rotate back onto the disc. With NOAA AR rotating onto the western hemisphere chances for a proton event are increasing. Solar wind total magnetic field experienced a jump around 1:30 UT, increasing suddenly from around 10 nT to around 24 nT. Bz was mostly positive after the jump but had peaks to below -8nT and there was an extended period of -8nT yesterday late before the shock. Solar wind speed increased from levels around 440 km/s to levels around 480 km/s with peaks over 550 km/s. Also density and temperature saw a slight increase. This thus marks the earlier than expected arrival of the November 7 CME. Total magnetic field has meanwhile decreased again to levels near 13 nT. Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled, reaching active levels with the shock arrival. Fluctuating solar wind conditions may last for the remainder of the day with possible periods of active geomagnetic conditions.

Dnešní odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn (ISN): 051, na základě 17 stanic.

Solární indexy za 09 Nov 2014

Wolfovo číslo Catania	///
10cm sluneční tok	132
AK Chambon La Forêt	021
AK Wingst	011
Odhadovaný Ap	010
Odhadovaný mezinárodní počet slunečních skvrn	062 - Na základě 19 stanic

Souhrn významných událostí

Poskytuje Centrum pro analýzu dat o solárních vlivech© - SIDC - Zpracováno SpaceWeatherLive

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